New household forecasts are one of those dry-sounding statistical releases that hide profound and challenging issues for all of us.
Last week’s projections from the Department for Communities and Local Government will affect where we live, and how. And countless local planning battles over these numbers, up and down the country, will determine whether we have any chance of solving the housing crisis.
On January 6th 2015, or thereabouts, London hits an extraordinary milestone – the population finally catches up with its 1939 peak population – from now on it will be an all-time high. Has any other city in history bounced back from losing two and a quarter million people?
Seventy five years on: same population, but an utterly different city. Here I take a look at how things have changed.
Is London really “hollowing out”, as the international super-rich use a Chelsea address as an asset class, not a place to live? The idea gained momentum when the Census revealed the population of Kensington and Chelsea (RBKC) had fallen, leading to stories of “lights-out London”, but the reality is more subtle.
The trouble with a housing crisis is that it unfolds in slow motion, over a generation, so we risk acting too late. In this post I’ve used historical and international comparisons to highlight the scale of the catastrophe we’re creating.
The bottom-line is that Britain is now experiencing the highest population growth in its entire history. Yet we are meeting this need with the lowest peacetime housebuilding rates in nearly a hundred years.
Unpredicted and unannounced Britain now finds itself right in the middle of an extraordinary new baby boom, a fresh bulge-generation that will help shape our country for the rest of the 21st Century. Has Britain cheated demographic destiny?